Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0900 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008

...CORRECT INITIAL MOTION FROM 335 DEGREES TO 340 DEGREES...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE ISLAND LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  62.5W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  55 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  62.5W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  62.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.1N  62.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.7N  62.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.3N  62.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.9N  62.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 35.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 36.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  62.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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