Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0900 UTC SUN JUL 13 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  62.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  62.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  62.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.1N  62.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 30.8N  63.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.0N  63.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.4N  63.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 35.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  62.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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