Tropical Storm BERTHA

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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0900 UTC WED JUL 16 2008
 
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  61.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  61.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.6N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.1N  60.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 35.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 34.1N  58.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 36.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 40.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 43.5N  41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N  61.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
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FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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