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Tropical Storm IKE


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TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  46.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  45SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE  60SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  46.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  45.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N  48.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.3N  51.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.6N  57.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  46.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/KNABB
 
 
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