Tropical Storm IKE

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TROPICAL STORM IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  50A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
100 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...CORRECTED STATUS TO TROPICAL STORM IN HEADER AND TEXT BODY
 
...IKE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER EASTERN TEXAS...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADOES STILL A THREAT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF SARGENT
TEXAS EASTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST OR JUST SOUTHEAST OF
PALESTINE TEXAS.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...
SOUTH OF TYLER TEXAS...AND ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...SOUTHWEST OF
LONGVIEW TEXAS.
 
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH NORTHEASTERN TEXAS TODAY...AND INTO
WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND IKE IS NOW A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. 
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...AND IKE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240
KM...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...
WITH POSSIBLY UP TO 20 FEET IN BAYS AND RIVERS WELL INLAND...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER
TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS.  THE SURGE EXTENDS A
GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE
OF THE CYCLONE.  AUTOMATED TIDE GAGES ARE STILL REPORTING STORM
SURGES VALUES OF TO 12 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE UPPER
TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTAL AREAS.
 
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI...
ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH
SUNDAY.
 
A THREAT FOR TORNADOES EXISTS THROUGH TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA...MUCH OF ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
 
REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...31.6 N...95.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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