Tropical Depression SIXTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  83.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  83.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  83.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.9N  84.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N  85.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.1N  86.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.9N  88.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  83.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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