Hurricane PALOMA
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HURRICANE PALOMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
0300 UTC SAT NOV 08 2008
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X X 6 20 33 48
TROP DEPRESSION X X 1 21 32 31 28
TROPICAL STORM X 6 18 59 41 32 22
HURRICANE 99 94 82 14 8 4 3
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 4 38 40 12 6 4 2
HUR CAT 2 40 40 25 1 1 X X
HUR CAT 3 52 14 13 1 X X X
HUR CAT 4 4 2 3 X X X X
HUR CAT 5 1 1 X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 100KT 90KT 70KT 50KT 40KT 30KT 20KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
KEY WEST FL 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 1(14)
ANDROS 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 4(19) 2(21) X(21)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 5(18) 7(25) 2(27) 1(28)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 1(18)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 2(15) 1(16)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
HAVANA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
ISLE OF PINES 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10)
CIENFUEGOS 34 4 15(19) 9(28) 2(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32)
CIENFUEGOS 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CAMAGUEY 34 3 39(42) 28(70) 2(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74)
CAMAGUEY 50 X 12(12) 26(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
CAMAGUEY 64 X 3( 3) 12(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 1 2( 3) 12(15) 5(20) 4(24) 2(26) 1(27)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MONTEGO BAY 34 4 15(19) 11(30) 1(31) 1(32) 1(33) X(33)
MONTEGO BAY 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MONTEGO BAY 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
KINGSTON 34 1 5( 6) 6(12) 2(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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