Hurricane HERNAN

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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
1500 UTC FRI AUG 08 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 119.9W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 119.9W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 119.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.8N 121.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.1N 123.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.1N 126.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 119.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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