Hurricane NORBERT

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HURRICANE NORBERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
500 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008
 
...NORBERT TARGETS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO AGUA BLANCA. PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO NORTHWARD TO GUAYMAS
AND FOR THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA
SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS AND NORTHWARD AROUND THE PENINSULA TO
LORETO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.3 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES
...370 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.  A TURN
TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND THEN THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THIS
TRACK...NORBERT IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SATURDAY MORNING...THEN MOVE OVER
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  NORBERT WILL THEN MAKE
A SECOND LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO SATURDAY
NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. NORBERT IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO ALTHOUGH NORBERT IS STILL EXPECTED TO REACH THE BAJA
PENINSULA AS A HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...EAST
OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM...FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR AND TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF WHERE NORBERT MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...21.7 N...113.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
 
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