Tropical Storm ALEX
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TROPICAL STORM ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
INFRARED SATELLITE SHOWS THAT CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO WARM NEAR THE
CENTER OF ALEX. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 45 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY...AND ALEX SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY. THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS SOUTH OF DUE WEST...260/11.
A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK IS LIKELY UNTIL DISSIPATION OVERNIGHT...
THEN THE REMNANTS OF ALEX SHOULD MOVE TO THE WEST OR WEST-
NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM...ALONG WITH AN ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF
MOISTURE...WILL LIKELY KEEP A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IN NORTHERN
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/1500Z 23.1N 100.3W 45 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 02/0000Z 23.0N 102.0W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER BLAKE
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