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Tropical Storm ALEX


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TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012010
100 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010
 
...ALEX WEAKENING OVER SOUTHERN YUCATAN BUT STILL PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.0N 89.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SW OF CHETUMAL
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 
OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR FROM BELIZE TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT THIS MORNING...AND ENTER THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WHILE ALEX MOVES
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY AFTER ALEX MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. RECENT DATA FROM
A POLAR-ORBITING SATELLITE INDICATED WINDS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WERE STILL OCCURRING OFF THE EAST COAST OF BELIZE FROM NEAR BELIZE
CITY EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD TO AMBERGRIS CAY AND CAYO NORTE
MEXICO.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO...
NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE
AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  THESE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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