Hurricane JOVA
ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102011
0300 UTC SUN OCT 09 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOVA. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 180SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.9W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.0N 108.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.9N 107.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 105SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 105SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.7N 105.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 70SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...105NE 135SE 105SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 65SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 135SE 105SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.0N 104.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 109.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN