Tropical Storm DEBBY
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
0900 UTC MON JUN 25 2012
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 1 4 8 19 34 42
TROP DEPRESSION 8 12 19 16 25 27 25
TROPICAL STORM 89 76 64 57 45 35 29
HURRICANE 4 11 13 19 11 4 4
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 3 9 11 16 10 3 4
HUR CAT 2 X 1 2 2 1 1 X
HUR CAT 3 X X 1 1 1 X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45KT 50KT 50KT 55KT 55KT 45KT 30KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
ATLANTA GA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 2(10)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8)
SAVANNAH GA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 1(11)
MAYPORT NS 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 4(13) 5(18) 2(20) 1(21)
JACKSONVILLE 34 4 4( 8) 4(12) 4(16) 5(21) 3(24) X(24)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 4 3( 7) 3(10) 4(14) 4(18) 2(20) 1(21)
ORLANDO FL 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 3(14) 5(19) 2(21) 1(22)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 1(15)
PATRICK AFB 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 1(15)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 1(11)
W PALM BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
MARCO ISLAND 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13)
FT MYERS FL 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 4(16) 1(17) 1(18)
VENICE FL 34 6 6(12) 5(17) 4(21) 4(25) 1(26) 1(27)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 10 8(18) 6(24) 6(30) 5(35) 2(37) 1(38)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 20 12(32) 7(39) 9(48) 5(53) 1(54) 1(55)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST MARKS FL 50 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15)
ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
APALACHICOLA 50 5 9(14) 6(20) 6(26) 5(31) 1(32) 1(33)
APALACHICOLA 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 16 12(28) 6(34) 5(39) 4(43) X(43) X(43)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 4 6(10) 4(14) 5(19) 4(23) X(23) 1(24)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
COLUMBUS GA 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 5(20) 2(22) 1(23)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 4 4( 8) 4(12) 4(16) 4(20) 2(22) 1(23)
PENSACOLA FL 34 13 12(25) 7(32) 6(38) 6(44) 2(46) 1(47)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOBILE AL 34 4 6(10) 5(15) 5(20) 6(26) 2(28) 1(29)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GULFPORT MS 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 4(15) 5(20) 2(22) 1(23)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
STENNIS SC 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 4(14) 2(16) 1(17)
BURAS LA 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) 4(16) 2(18) 1(19)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 4(15) 6(21) 1(22) 2(24)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 1(14)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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