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Tropical Storm LESLIE


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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  62.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 330SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  62.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  62.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  20SE  20SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.2N  62.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  20SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 36.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 44.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 46.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 48.0N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  62.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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