Tropical Depression TWO-E

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012               
1500 UTC MON MAY 21 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       1       1       X       X       7      15
TROP DEPRESSION 36      15       5       2       2      13       9
TROPICAL STORM  61      76      57      39      21      39      44
HURRICANE        1       8      38      59      77      41      32
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       7      31      38      39      27      23
HUR CAT 2        X       1       5      14      22       9       7
HUR CAT 3        X       X       2       5      13       4       2
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       1       3       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    45KT    60KT    70KT    85KT    75KT    55KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)
SAN BLAS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
SAN BLAS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   5(17)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
P VALLARTA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  15(24)   7(31)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  17(26)   6(32)
MANZANILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
MANZANILLO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  14(25)   7(32)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)
L CARDENAS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  12(20)   7(27)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
ZIHUATANEJO    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   5(15)
ACAPULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
ACAPULCO       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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