Tropical Storm ANDREA
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TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
0900 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 3 7 13 16 NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 14 26 31 39 34 NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 85 68 59 46 46 NA NA
HURRICANE 1 3 4 3 5 NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 3 4 3 4 NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40KT 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) X(26) X(26)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 12(27) X(27) X(27)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 33(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 38(38) 7(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORTLAND ME 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BOSTON MA 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
HYANNIS MA 34 X 5( 5) 37(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X 7( 7) 46(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 7( 7) 18(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HARTFORD CT 34 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 15(15) 16(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
DOVER DE 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 38(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NORFOLK NAS 34 8 38(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
NORFOLK VA 34 10 41(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
WALLOPS CDA 34 1 38(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
RALEIGH NC 34 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 26 28(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 62 5(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
WILMINGTON NC 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
WILMINGTON NC 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
CHARLESTON SC 34 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAYPORT NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
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FORECASTER AVILA
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