Hurricane GIL

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HURRICANE GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072013
1500 UTC THU AUG 01 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 124.2W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 124.2W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 123.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.7N 125.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.9N 127.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.0N 129.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.2N 131.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 15.0N 141.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 124.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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