Tropical Depression TWELVE-E

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
800 AM PDT THU SEP 05 2013
 
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.0N 106.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AQUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA. 
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AQUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWELVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE NEARING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SHIP OBSERVATIONS IS
1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
EARLY ON SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
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