Hurricane RAYMOND

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
800 PM PDT MON OCT 21 2013
 
...RAYMOND WEAKENS SLIGHTLY BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE....
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.4N 101.9W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. RAYMOND HAS
BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...THIS EVENING. A
SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...
AND RAYMOND COULD MOVE CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD
THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  RAYMOND IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...HOWEVER RAYMOND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A STRONG
HURRICANE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES
OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY IF
THE CENTER OF RAYMOND MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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