Hurricane RAYMOND

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE RAYMOND INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 22 2013
 
...RAYMOND STILL PARKED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.3N 101.9W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. RAYMOND
REMAINS STATIONARY. A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...AND RAYMOND COULD STILL MOVE CLOSER TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD 
THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND
RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN
STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN SQUALLS ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT IF
THE CENTER OF RAYMOND MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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