Hurricane ARTHUR
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
2100 UTC THU JUL 03 2014
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) X(34) X(34)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 38(46) X(46) X(46)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 42(42) 18(60) X(60) X(60)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) X(19) X(19)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 31(51) X(51) X(51)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 72(77) 3(80) X(80) X(80)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 34(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 31(31) 55(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 51(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 52(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23)
ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 10(10) 38(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 15(15) 18(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 10(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
BOSTON MA 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X 4( 4) 61(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X 4( 4) 77(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 44(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 4( 4) 29(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HARTFORD CT 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 6( 6) 34(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BALTIMORE MD 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 2 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WASHINGTON DC 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 38(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK NAS 34 25 24(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
NORFOLK NAS 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 38 23(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
NORFOLK VA 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK VA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
WALLOPS CDA 34 2 37(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
WALLOPS CDA 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 92 6(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 61 19(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
WILMINGTON NC 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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