Tropical Storm ELIDA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052014               
2100 UTC MON JUN 30 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAN BLAS       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  5   7(12)   4(16)   5(21)   2(23)   1(24)   X(24)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MANZANILLO     34  6   7(13)   3(16)   5(21)   2(23)   X(23)   1(24)
MANZANILLO     50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
L CARDENAS     34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
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