Tropical Depression ELEVEN

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
0900 UTC MON SEP 28 2015

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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