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HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
0900 UTC SAT JUN 06 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM CABO SAN
LUCAS TO SANTA FE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO
SAN LAZARO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO SANTA FE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO
* NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.9W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 130SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 330SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.9W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.8N 109.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 130SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.3N 110.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N 110.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.0N 111.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 26.8N 112.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 108.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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