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TROPICAL STORM COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016
0900 UTC MON JUN 06 2016
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) X(21)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 26(26) 12(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 27(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 38(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 35(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 31(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 31(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 43(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 31(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 4( 4) 34(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 10(10) 31(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 22(22) 21(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 37(37) 11(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KINGS BAY GA 34 1 78(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
WAYCROSS GA 34 1 57(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 80(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
JACKSONVILLE 34 1 82(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 13(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 6 83(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 62(64) 2(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
THE VILLAGES 34 8 71(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
THE VILLAGES 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 5 44(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
PATRICK AFB 34 2 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
W PALM BEACH 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MIAMI FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 10 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
FT MYERS FL 34 12 11(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
VENICE FL 34 30 18(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
TAMPA FL 34 28 43(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 26 65(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 4 27(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
ST MARKS FL 34 9 44(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
ST MARKS FL 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 24 22(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 68 13(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 8 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
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FORECASTER BEVEN
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