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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0300 UTC MON AUG 29 2016
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 7(23)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 9(22)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 7(24)
THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
KEY WEST FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 2(14)
FT MYERS FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 2(16)
VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 10(19) 3(22)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 7( 8) 14(22) 5(27)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 14(22) 5(27)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 3(18)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 3(21)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 14(24) 3(27)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 14(16) 15(31) 3(34)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 2(21)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 13(16) 9(25) 1(26)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 4(18) X(18)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
HAVANA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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