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HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
2100 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DANVILLE VA 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK NAS 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
NORFOLK VA 34 7 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 9 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 27 5(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
GREENSBORO NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ROCKY MT NC 34 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 85 10(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 12 17(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 50 37 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
CHERRY PT NC 64 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 63 4(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
NEW RIVER NC 64 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 62 2(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 50 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
SURF CITY NC 64 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
WILMINGTON NC 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
FLORENCE SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COLUMBIA SC 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 64 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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