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TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
0900 UTC TUE OCT 11 2016
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
BERMUDA 34 X 5( 5) 13(18) 47(65) 23(88) 1(89) X(89)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 24(24) 31(55) X(55) X(55)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20(29) X(29) X(29)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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