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Tropical Storm Otis Discussion Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP152017
800 PM PDT Mon Sep 18 2017

The cloud pattern has deteriorated significantly and the circulation
is becoming elongated. Given the lowering of Dvorak estimates
tonight, the initial intensity has been reduced to 35 kt.  Dry air
and cooler waters will continue to affect the cyclone, and
additional weakening is forecast.  Otis is anticipated to degenerate
into a remnant low in about 24 hours or sooner.

Since Otis is weakening and becoming a shallow system, it will be
steered southwestward by the low level-flow until dissipation.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/0300Z 19.4N 127.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  19/1200Z 19.2N 128.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  20/0000Z 18.5N 129.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila

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