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SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018
1500 UTC MON MAY 28 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH WEST OF MEXICO BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT
RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  85.8W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  85.8W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  86.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 30.8N  86.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 33.0N  86.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 35.9N  87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 38.9N  87.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 44.9N  84.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 48.5N  78.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N  85.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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