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HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022018
1500 UTC FRI JUL 06 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
BERYL...AS HURRICANE WATCHES COULD BE NEEDED FOR SOME OF THE ISLANDS
BY TONIGHT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 46.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
EYE DIAMETER 5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 46.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 46.0W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 11.3N 47.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 5SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.2N 50.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.3N 53.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.2N 56.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.2N 64.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 18.5N 72.0W...INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 46.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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