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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
1500 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  51.8W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE  30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  51.8W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  51.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.9N  52.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.9N  54.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.9N  55.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.1N  56.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.9N  59.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 27.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N  51.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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