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TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018
0900 UTC THU OCT 11 2018
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 21(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X 51(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 56(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
NORFOLK VA 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 62(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 76(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREENSBORO NC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 19 15(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
RALEIGH NC 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 7 58(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 25(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 75 3(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 3 39(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
NEW RIVER NC 34 1 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 2 22(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
SURF CITY NC 34 16 16(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
WILMINGTON NC 34 29 10(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
FLORENCE SC 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
COLUMBIA SC 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
LITTLE RIVER 34 45 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 49 X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 48 X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
CHARLESTON SC 34 63 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
AUGUSTA GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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