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HURRICANE HECTOR SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018
0000 UTC MON AUG 06 2018
AT 0000Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 140W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 140W 50 85 11(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
15N 140W 64 42 37(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
15N 145W 34 X 4( 4) 80(84) 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
15N 145W 50 X 1( 1) 43(44) 3(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
15N 145W 64 X X( X) 20(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 28(55) X(55) X(55)
15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) X(18)
15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 73(77) 1(78) X(78)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) X(45) X(45)
BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) X(18)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 12(48) X(48)
15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) X(16)
15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 30(65) 1(66)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 23(31) X(31)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 18(43) X(43)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 14(25) X(25)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 66(77) 1(78)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 42(43) 2(45)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 6(39)
15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14)
15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 4(25)
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 10(42)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26)
15N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
15N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
20N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
15N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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