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HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102018
0900 UTC SAT AUG 11 2018
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 170W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 170W 50 91 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
20N 170W 64 41 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
25N 170W 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MARO REEF 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 175W 34 1 5( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
25N 175W 34 X 3( 3) 35(38) 23(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
25N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAYSAN 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LISIANSKI 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
PEARL/HERMES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17)
KURE 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 1(20) X(20)
KURE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
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