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TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 53
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142018
1500 UTC MON AUG 27 2018
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 165W 34 15 X(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GARDNER PINN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
25N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 30(38) X(38) X(38)
25N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
30N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
MARO REEF 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 1(38) X(38)
MARO REEF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MARO REEF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
30N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 10(28) 2(30)
30N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
30N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
35N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
LAYSAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) X(31) X(31)
LAYSAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LAYSAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18)
LISIANSKI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PEARL/HERMES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) 1(18)
PEARL/HERMES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 2(13)
KURE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9)
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
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