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TROPICAL STORM MARCO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020
1500 UTC MON AUG 24 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARCO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MOBILE AL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 8 18(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
STENNIS MS 34 6 28(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
STENNIS MS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BURAS LA 34 21 24(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
BURAS LA 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 36(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 20(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 16(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 8( 8) 13(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 9( 9) 10(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) 14(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
JASPER TX 34 X X( X) 10(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KEESLER AB 34 11 13(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
$$
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