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TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
2100 UTC MON SEP 21 2020
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FORT POLK LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
CAMERON LA 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
JASPER TX 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
KOUNTZE TX 34 4 3( 7) 5(12) 1(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 3 3( 6) 6(12) 2(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)
GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HOUSTON TX 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUSTIN TX 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FREEPORT TX 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MATAGORDA TX 50 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PORT O CONNOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORT O CONNOR 50 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ROCKPORT TX 34 31 9(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 9 6(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 3 4( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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