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TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL252020
0300 UTC MON OCT 05 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
PROGRESO TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH AND WEST OF CANCUN TO DZILAM MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF DZILAM TO CAMPECHE MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  87.2W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE  60SE  60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  45SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  87.2W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  87.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.7N  87.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  40SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N  88.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.8N  89.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.3N  90.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.3N  90.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.2N  90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.0N  90.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.0N  91.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N  87.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 05/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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