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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2020
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.9N 83.1W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of
the depression.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor 
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-Eight was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 83.1
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph
(4 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early
Sunday. The system should gradually turn toward the west-northwest
with a faster forward speed by Monday. On the forecast track, the
center of the depression is expected to remain south of western Cuba
tomorrow and approach the Yucatan Channel or Yucatan Peninsula late
Monday before emerging over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and
the system is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday and
could become a hurricane over the southern Gulf of Mexico on
Tuesday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: Across portions of central and western Cuba, the Cayman
Islands, Jamaica, the northeast Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico,
southern Florida and the Florida Keys, storm total rainfall of 4
to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through
Wednesday.
 
WIND: Tropical-storm conditions are possible in the watch area
on Monday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brennan
 
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