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TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
1500 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 4(10)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 4(11)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 4(14)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) 3(15)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 2(18) 3(21)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 3(19) 2(21)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25) 2(27) 1(28)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 14(41) 1(42) 1(43)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 30(37) 13(50) 1(51) X(51)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MIAMI FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 23(25) 14(39) 1(40) 1(41)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10)
MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 23(26) 13(39) 1(40) 1(41)
HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10)
HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 19(29) 10(39) 3(42) X(42)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13)
MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KEY WEST FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 11(29) 4(33) 1(34)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 26(42) 3(45) 1(46)
NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14)
NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 3(32) 1(33)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 28(35) 4(39) 2(41)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20(24) 5(29) 3(32)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) 6(22)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 6(18)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) 6(23)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 6(15)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 18(25) 6(31) 1(32) 1(33)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 11(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ANDROS 34 X 5( 5) 22(27) 8(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37)
ANDROS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
HAVANA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 3(14) 1(15)
ISLE OF PINES 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
CIENFUEGOS 34 1 21(22) 2(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMAGUEY 34 X 8( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 8 X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7)
KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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