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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021
2100 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X 15(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
AGUADILLA PR 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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