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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
2100 UTC SAT SEP 04 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  47.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  47.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  46.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.4N  48.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.8N  50.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N  52.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.2N  54.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.4N  55.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.7N  57.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.3N  59.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 33.4N  61.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  47.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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