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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
300 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021
 
...ENRIQUE WEAKENING QUICKLY AS IT PULLS NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST MEXICAN COASTLINE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 107.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WNW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to Playa Perula Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
* Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was 
located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 107.3 West. Enrique is 
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this motion is 
expected continue for the next several days. On the forecast track, 
the center of Enrique will continue to move away from the 
southwestern coast of Mexico tonight. Enrique is then expected to 
move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula 
on Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast over the next 
few days, but Enrique could still be a tropical storm as it 
approaches the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula by Wednesday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning for the next few hours.  Tropical 
storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area 
along the southwestern coast of Mexico through early evening and in 
the watch area over the southeast portion of the Baja California 
Peninsula by Wednesday.
 
RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco in western Mexico. These amounts may produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
 
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