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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022
2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18)
BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
LIMON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COLON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 5(29) X(29)
PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
PT GALLINAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) X(24) X(24)
CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRENADA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) 22(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
JUANGRIEGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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