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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Agatha Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
400 AM CDT Sun May 29 2022
 
...AGATHA STRENGTHENING...
...TODAY IS YOUR LAST DAY TO PREPARE BEFORE THE WINDS INCREASE
ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 98.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan
* Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor the
progress of Agatha.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 98.8 West. Agatha is
moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h).  A turn 
toward the northeast is expected later today, with a slow motion 
toward the northeast continuing through Monday night.  On the 
forecast track, the center of Agatha will approach the southern 
coast of Mexico today and make landfall there on Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Agatha is expected to become a hurricane later 
today, and further intensification is anticipated up until landfall 
on Monday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning
area and possibly in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm
conditions possible tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected in the tropical storm warning areas on Monday.
 
STORM SURGE:  Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the
center of Agatha makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of
southern Mexico by later today into Tuesday night. The following
rainfall amounts are currently expected:
 
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches,
with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible.
Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with
isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Agatha are expected to begin affecting
the coast of southern Mexico this morning.  These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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