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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082022
1500 UTC WED JUL 27 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 114.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 114.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.0N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.2N 117.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.4N 118.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.0N 118.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.3N 119.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 16.1N 124.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 114.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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