ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IDALIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDALIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CHERRY PT NC 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 10(22) 4(26)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN