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HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152023
0900 UTC THU SEP 21 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N  47.8W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  26 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N  47.8W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  49.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.9N  42.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 45.9N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 190SE 160SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 49.5N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 210SE 160SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 53.1N  23.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 56.8N  23.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 160SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 58.3N  24.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.6N  47.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
 
 
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