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HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092023
0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OXNARD CA 34 X 11(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X 30(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
LONG BEACH/LA 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LONG BEACH/LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
S CATALINA IS 34 X 28(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
S CATALINA IS 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN DIEGO CA 34 3 67(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
SAN DIEGO CA 50 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SAN DIEGO CA 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
YUMA AZ 34 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
TIJUANA 34 X 70(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
TIJUANA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ENSENADA 34 7 77(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
ENSENADA 50 X 28(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ENSENADA 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
IS GUADALUPE 34 15 6(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUNTA EUGENIA 50 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
PUNTA EUGENIA 64 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
P ABREOJOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P ABREOJOS 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LA PAZ 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LORETO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
P PENASCO 34 12 17(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
BAHIA KINO 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
GUAYMAS 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
25N 115W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
25N 115W 64 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
25N 120W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
30N 120W 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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